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Well maybe then use this huge letdown as a fuel to win Lite or something and you’ll get mentioned, if validation from others is what you desire.

Since multiple series were played prior to when this was posted, here's an updated look at the odds for each team, as well as some of the things that changed since the original article. NOTABLE CHANGES: - EXEN have virtually locked up a playoff spot, and have also increased their chances of finishing Top 4 by 13% after its sweep of Mustaa Kultaa on Sunday. - Mustaa Kultaa's odds at a Top 4 finish dipped from over 95% to 72.98%. The was due to collecting 0 points against EXEN. - Last Dance now have a 92.5% chance to clinch the #1 seed. - Mythix (47.2%) and Parasite (33.8%) are the favorites to finish 2nd. Mustaa Kultaa still has a 12.4% chance and EXEN holds a 1.3% chance, though this is unlikely. - Heimo's playoff chances improved the most on Sunday, going from over 61% to 88.61% due to earning 6 points against Vapor. - vNexs' playoff chances increased by roughly 15% despite not playing on Sunday. - SSK ESPORTS' playoff chances have increased to over 85% after earning 3 points against Mythix. A few more wins should likely lock them in. - Tohtorit's playoff chances saw the biggest drop, going from 67.68% to 5.25% after not collecting a point in their series vs Last Dance. - GOONS are officially eliminated from playoff contention after collecting 0 points in its last four games of the season. They are also virtually a lock to play a relegation playoff series barring a collapse from one of teams behind them in the standings. - Blackbirds are virtually eliminated from playoff contention. Though they are still mathematically alive, it will take winning out along with many favorable results to end the season. The projections have them likely to play in a relegation playoff series. - NOVA's playoff chances have slightly increased due to results around them. Their chances of being automatically relegated have also decreased to nearly 0%. They did not play on Sunday and still have 14 games to play. - Vapor and ONSE Esports are likely the only teams remaining who can still be automatically relegated. Vapor collected 2 points in its four games played, while ONSE did not play on Sunday.

Updated odds after Monday's games: NOTABLE CHANGES: - Polski Boys were the biggest winners on Monday, as they saw their playoff odds jump from 18.74% to 69.79%. They collected 10 out of a possible 12 points in their series against The Black Jacks and Blackbirds - vNexs saw their playoff odds decrease from a comfortable 87.85% to 54.98% after Monday's results, the biggest drop of any team in the hunt. This was due to earning just 1 point in their series with EXEN, while Polski Boys earned 10 and now own an 8-point advantage in the standings. Though vNexs still have 8 games to play, having matchups with Last Dance, Mythix and SSK ESPORTS likely didn't help their cause in the simulations. - EXEN's odds to finish Top 4 increased from 17% to 64.2%. This was due EXEN earning 5 out of 6 points vs vNexs, combined with Mustaa Kultaa collecting none. - Mustaa Kultaa's odds of a Top 4 finish dropped from 72.98% to 31.90% after earning 0 points vs Parasite. They also are effectively out of the running to finish any better than 4th. To do so they would have to collect all 12 possible points while either Mythix goes pointless or Parasite collects no more than 2 points in their remaining games. - Last Dance now have a 97.96% chance to clinch the #1 seed due to Mythix collecting just 3 points in their series vs The Black Jacks. - Tohtorit's playoff hopes increased despite not playing on Monday, going from 5.25% to 21.24%. This was mainly due to losses from vNexs and NOVA . - Mythix and Parasite have full control of the battle for the #2 seed (assuming that the #1 seed holds on), with Mythix holding a 52.24% chance and Parasite having a 45% chance. These two still have a series to play, which could very well decide who ends up with that seed. Mythix has a 4 point advantage, while Parasite has 2 games in hand. - NOVA's playoff hopes declined after Monday's results, going from 13.28% to 4.56%. Though their already slim playoff hopes now seem to be hanging on by a thread, they still look likely to avoid a relegation playoff with a 79.68% of finishing 9th-12th in the standings. - Blackbirds' odds at avoiding a relegation playoff increased after Monday, jumping from 26.11% to 44.20% This was mainly due to multiple losses from The Black Jacks and NOVA. Blackbirds earned 1 point on Monday vs Polski Boys and have one series remaining against Last Dance. - Vapor was a big winner on Monday, as their odds of being automatically relegated decreased from a near certain 95.71%, to a more hopeful 67.19%. This was due to ONSE Esports collecting 0 points in its series vs NOVA on Monday. The two teams are separated by 2 points and each have 4 games remaining. ONSE Esports' chances of automatic relegation increased from 4.24% to 22.63% due to their two regulation losses against NOVA.

Holy shit. @bMaJuH 🐐

This is the kind of analytics many of us expect for lower divisions as well. Great job. ⭐

Please apply to join the writing team if you can contribute to the articles:

So, when do we get more information about these two new formats - ECL Cup & ECL 4v4? 👁️‍🗨️👁️‍🗨️

Thats some serious work right here. Thx a lot. Very fun to read and be a part of too.

Updated odds after Tuesday's games: NOTABLE CHANGES: - Tohtorit have been one of the biggest winners these past two days. After leaving Sunday's games with just a 5.25% chance to make the playoffs, they now have a 37.03% chance to do so after earning 5 points vs Parasite on Tuesday. Their final two games of the season vs Heimo will likely decide their playoff fate, as they can have as high as a 73.42% chance or as low as a 3.19% chance depending on the results. These games will be broadcasted live on Wednesday on the SportsGamerGG broadcast. - Heimo saw their playoff odds decrease from 91.59% to 72.84%. This was due to earning just 1 point vs EXEN, as well as Tohtorit's wins over Parasite. Though their playoff odds are still higher than other contenders such as vNexs, SSK ESPORTS and Polski Boys, earning points in their remaining six games against Tohtorit, SSK ESPORTS and NOVA will be crucial. - Mythix's odds to earn the #2 seed have jumped from 52.24% to 79.88% due Parasite earning just 1 point in its series vs Tohtorit. Mythix can officially clinch the #2 seed with at least 5 points against Parasite on Wednesday and won't have worse than a 72.35% if they can secure at least 2 points. - Parasite's odds of being the #2 seed dropped from 45% to 20.33%. They will need to collect at least 5 points in their series vs Mythix on Wednesday to have a favorable chance at the #2 seed, as doing so would give them 83.7% odds to clinch it. Anything less gives them no better than a 27.62% chance. This series will also be broadcasted live by SportsGamerGG. - Mustaa Kultaa now have just a 10.46% chance at earning a Top 4 seed after Tuesday's results. This is due to Mustaa Kultaa earning 3 points vs Vapor, while EXEN earned 5 points in its series vs Heimo. Mustaa Kultaa entered the week with a 95.97% chance to finish in the Top 4. - EXEN now have an 87.97% chance of clinching a Top 4 seed due to the results mentioned above. They can clinch the #4 seed by earning 7 points in their last 4 games. They also have an outside chance of earning the #3 seed (0.74%), but it would take Parasite earning less than 4 points in their last 4 games. - SSK ESPORTS saw their playoff odds drop from 81.14% to 65.87% after earning just 2 points vs vNexs. They still control their own destiny with 8 games remaining, but they have less room for error now. Their remaining games are against Last Dance, Heimo, NOVA and Vapor. Simulations estimate that they will need to earn 13-15 points to safely qualify (depending on outside results). - GOONS' chances of avoiding a relegation playoff slightly increased. In the past two days, their odds of playing in a relegation series have gone from 99.96% to 87.18%. They will need Blackbirds, The Black Jacks and/or NOVA to drop points for their chances to improve. - Blackbirds, The Black Jacks and NOVA are the three teams competing to avoid a relegation playoff. NOVA and TBJ are heavily favored at over 70% odds due to games in hand and scheduling. Blackbirds will need to earn at least 3 points in their final series vs Last Dance to improve their current odds, which have dropped from 44.20% to 35.64%. The Black Jacks have four games remaining vs EXEN and ONSE Esports. NOVA still have 10 games left to play, all against teams currently clinched or in the playoff hunt. - Vapor saw their odds of being automatically relegated increase from 67.19% to 73.30%. They trail ONSE Esports by 2 points in the standings and both teams have two games remaining. Vapor will play against SSK ESPORTS, while ONSE Esports will play against The Black Jacks. Though NOVA could still be automatically relegated, they would need to earn less than 3 points in their final 10 games to do so. This has just a 0.07% chance of happening.

Great article! But a correction regarding the text about us. "They're 5-5-0 in their last 10 games, and they've only earned maximum points in one series all season" I think we won both games against HEIMO as well. (6-0, 4-1) This stuff is incredibly fun to read about!

@bMaJuH There is definitely no need to apologise here. Its really an unpredictable stuff right now even for us, so lets see how it works out. A lot of games ahead. I guess in two days the picture will be more clear since we have 3 teams lined up for games. Thx for the article, very informative! Keep up the good work

Wednesday was by far the day with the biggest changes to the playoff picture. Here are the updated odds as well as all of the changes to the odds. NOTABLE CHANGES: - Tohtorit's playoff chances have increased from 37.03% to 99.64%, virtually locking their place into the Top 8 barring something catastrophic. This was due to Tohtorit earning 4 points in its series vs Heimo, as well as Polski Boys and vNexs dropping points (more on those two teams later). Tohtorit can only miss the playoffs if SSK ESPORTS, Heimo and vNexs finish with 46+ points. - SSK ESPORTS are the second-closest team to clinching a playoff spot, as their chances increased from 65.87% to 92.43% after earning 8/12 points vs Vapor and Last Dance. SSK needs to earn 6 points in their final 4 games to clinch a spot without any outside help. They'll play against two of remaining bubble teams, Heimo and NOVA. - vNexs had the biggest decrease in playoff odds on Wednesday, going from 59/72% to 6.92% on Wednesday. This was due to earning 0 points vs NOVA, as well as other Tohtorit and Heimo earning points in their series. They also have the toughest remaining schedule of any team in the hunt, with their final four games being against the current top two seeds, Last Dance and Myhitx. - Polski Boys saw their playoff odds decrease significantly, dropping from 60.59% to 17.83% after Wednesday's results. This drop was due to earning just 3 points in their final four games, as well as Tohtorit and Heimo both earning points in their series. For Polski Boys to male the Top 8, only ONE of SSK ESPORTS, Heimo, vNexs or Heimo can pass them in the standings. - Heimo's playoff odds remained unbothered despite only earning 2 points vs Tohtorit, as their chances only decreased from 72.84% to 71.56%. This was primarily due to Polski Boys and vNexs dropping points in their games on Wednesday. Prior to those two teams being swept, earning 2 points vs Tohtorit would've only given Heimo a 21.37% chance at making the Top 8. They can thank Mustaa Kultaa, ONSE Esports, and NOVA for taking away points from their fellow playoff contenders. - NOVA managed to keep their playoff dreams alive on Wednesday and even saw their chances increase somewhat, going from 3.95% to 11.62%. Though they're still viewed as a long shot to crack the Top 8, earning 9/12 points vs EXEN and vNexs, along with Polski Boys losing their final two games, increased their chances and keeps them in the hunt. - Three playoff seedings are officially confirmed. Last Dance is locked in as the #1 seed, EXEN is locked in as the #4 seed, and Mustaa Kultaa is locked in as the #5 seed. - Mythix now have a 93.88% chance to clinch the #2 seed after earning 3 points in its series vs Parasite. On the opposite side of this, Parasite's chances have decreased to 5.95%. - The Black Jacks have clinched a place in "no man's land" and will officially avoid playing in a relegation playoff series. This was due to earning 6 points in their final series vs ONSE Esports, allowing them to surpass both Blackbirds and GOONS in the standings. - Blackbirds and ONSE Esports are both locked into playing a relegation playoff series. - The final relegation series spot will be decided between GOONS, vNexs and NOVA. vNexs need to earn 1 point in their final 4 games to officially avoid a relegation playoff. NOVA will need to earn 6 points in their final 6 games to do so. - Vapor are now officially locked into 16th in the standings and will be relegated from the Elite division. This was due to NOVA surpassing them in the standings on Wednesday and Vapor having no remaining games on their schedule.

Thank you for reading it! I'm looking forward to seeing how you guys do the rest of the season. Glad you enjoyed!

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@AdriF_23 🐐

Ggs Pirates 🏴‍☠️

Gg Pirates 💪🏻

This has been edited. Thanks for the catch 👍

SSK got 2 points against us. Not 1.

By teams for sure. The level of this and the other day pro mid-seasons report are a joke. SG keep getting money and quality keep going down. No wonder why so many pp left

@Winci-_o♥️

@Pekedipeksyou have play your best season bro 😍😂 ggs pirates!

🤔