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Thats some serious work right here. Thx a lot. Very fun to read and be a part of too.

Updated odds after Tuesday's games: NOTABLE CHANGES: - Tohtorit have been one of the biggest winners these past two days. After leaving Sunday's games with just a 5.25% chance to make the playoffs, they now have a 37.03% chance to do so after earning 5 points vs Parasite on Tuesday. Their final two games of the season vs Heimo will likely decide their playoff fate, as they can have as high as a 73.42% chance or as low as a 3.19% chance depending on the results. These games will be broadcasted live on Wednesday on the SportsGamerGG broadcast. - Heimo saw their playoff odds decrease from 91.59% to 72.84%. This was due to earning just 1 point vs EXEN, as well as Tohtorit's wins over Parasite. Though their playoff odds are still higher than other contenders such as vNexs, SSK ESPORTS and Polski Boys, earning points in their remaining six games against Tohtorit, SSK ESPORTS and NOVA will be crucial. - Mythix's odds to earn the #2 seed have jumped from 52.24% to 79.88% due Parasite earning just 1 point in its series vs Tohtorit. Mythix can officially clinch the #2 seed with at least 5 points against Parasite on Wednesday and won't have worse than a 72.35% if they can secure at least 2 points. - Parasite's odds of being the #2 seed dropped from 45% to 20.33%. They will need to collect at least 5 points in their series vs Mythix on Wednesday to have a favorable chance at the #2 seed, as doing so would give them 83.7% odds to clinch it. Anything less gives them no better than a 27.62% chance. This series will also be broadcasted live by SportsGamerGG. - Mustaa Kultaa now have just a 10.46% chance at earning a Top 4 seed after Tuesday's results. This is due to Mustaa Kultaa earning 3 points vs Vapor, while EXEN earned 5 points in its series vs Heimo. Mustaa Kultaa entered the week with a 95.97% chance to finish in the Top 4. - EXEN now have an 87.97% chance of clinching a Top 4 seed due to the results mentioned above. They can clinch the #4 seed by earning 7 points in their last 4 games. They also have an outside chance of earning the #3 seed (0.74%), but it would take Parasite earning less than 4 points in their last 4 games. - SSK ESPORTS saw their playoff odds drop from 81.14% to 65.87% after earning just 2 points vs vNexs. They still control their own destiny with 8 games remaining, but they have less room for error now. Their remaining games are against Last Dance, Heimo, NOVA and Vapor. Simulations estimate that they will need to earn 13-15 points to safely qualify (depending on outside results). - GOONS' chances of avoiding a relegation playoff slightly increased. In the past two days, their odds of playing in a relegation series have gone from 99.96% to 87.18%. They will need Blackbirds, The Black Jacks and/or NOVA to drop points for their chances to improve. - Blackbirds, The Black Jacks and NOVA are the three teams competing to avoid a relegation playoff. NOVA and TBJ are heavily favored at over 70% odds due to games in hand and scheduling. Blackbirds will need to earn at least 3 points in their final series vs Last Dance to improve their current odds, which have dropped from 44.20% to 35.64%. The Black Jacks have four games remaining vs EXEN and ONSE Esports. NOVA still have 10 games left to play, all against teams currently clinched or in the playoff hunt. - Vapor saw their odds of being automatically relegated increase from 67.19% to 73.30%. They trail ONSE Esports by 2 points in the standings and both teams have two games remaining. Vapor will play against SSK ESPORTS, while ONSE Esports will play against The Black Jacks. Though NOVA could still be automatically relegated, they would need to earn less than 3 points in their final 10 games to do so. This has just a 0.07% chance of happening.

Here you can talk all about the SG World Cup 2025! First gameday was an intense one! Gameday 2 on Thurday, May 8th with the following broadcast games: 21:00 CEST Norway - Czechia 22:00 CEST France - Great Britain

SSK got 2 points against us. Not 1.

Updated odds after Monday's games: NOTABLE CHANGES: - Polski Boys were the biggest winners on Monday, as they saw their playoff odds jump from 18.74% to 69.79%. They collected 10 out of a possible 12 points in their series against The Black Jacks and Blackbirds - vNexs saw their playoff odds decrease from a comfortable 87.85% to 54.98% after Monday's results, the biggest drop of any team in the hunt. This was due to earning just 1 point in their series with EXEN, while Polski Boys earned 10 and now own an 8-point advantage in the standings. Though vNexs still have 8 games to play, having matchups with Last Dance, Mythix and SSK ESPORTS likely didn't help their cause in the simulations. - EXEN's odds to finish Top 4 increased from 17% to 64.2%. This was due EXEN earning 5 out of 6 points vs vNexs, combined with Mustaa Kultaa collecting none. - Mustaa Kultaa's odds of a Top 4 finish dropped from 72.98% to 31.90% after earning 0 points vs Parasite. They also are effectively out of the running to finish any better than 4th. To do so they would have to collect all 12 possible points while either Mythix goes pointless or Parasite collects no more than 2 points in their remaining games. - Last Dance now have a 97.96% chance to clinch the #1 seed due to Mythix collecting just 3 points in their series vs The Black Jacks. - Tohtorit's playoff hopes increased despite not playing on Monday, going from 5.25% to 21.24%. This was mainly due to losses from vNexs and NOVA . - Mythix and Parasite have full control of the battle for the #2 seed (assuming that the #1 seed holds on), with Mythix holding a 52.24% chance and Parasite having a 45% chance. These two still have a series to play, which could very well decide who ends up with that seed. Mythix has a 4 point advantage, while Parasite has 2 games in hand. - NOVA's playoff hopes declined after Monday's results, going from 13.28% to 4.56%. Though their already slim playoff hopes now seem to be hanging on by a thread, they still look likely to avoid a relegation playoff with a 79.68% of finishing 9th-12th in the standings. - Blackbirds' odds at avoiding a relegation playoff increased after Monday, jumping from 26.11% to 44.20% This was mainly due to multiple losses from The Black Jacks and NOVA. Blackbirds earned 1 point on Monday vs Polski Boys and have one series remaining against Last Dance. - Vapor was a big winner on Monday, as their odds of being automatically relegated decreased from a near certain 95.71%, to a more hopeful 67.19%. This was due to ONSE Esports collecting 0 points in its series vs NOVA on Monday. The two teams are separated by 2 points and each have 4 games remaining. ONSE Esports' chances of automatic relegation increased from 4.24% to 22.63% due to their two regulation losses against NOVA.

Great article! But a correction regarding the text about us. "They're 5-5-0 in their last 10 games, and they've only earned maximum points in one series all season" I think we won both games against HEIMO as well. (6-0, 4-1) This stuff is incredibly fun to read about!

Holy shit. @bMaJuH 🐐

This is the kind of analytics many of us expect for lower divisions as well. Great job. ⭐