Wednesday was by far the day with the biggest changes to the playoff picture. Here are the updated odds as well as all of the changes to the odds.
NOTABLE CHANGES:
- Tohtorit's playoff chances have increased from 37.03% to 99.64%, virtually locking their place into the Top 8 barring something catastrophic. This was due to Tohtorit earning 4 points in its series vs Heimo, as well as Polski Boys and vNexs dropping points (more on those two teams later). Tohtorit can only miss the playoffs if SSK ESPORTS, Heimo and vNexs finish with 46+ points.
- SSK ESPORTS are the second-closest team to clinching a playoff spot, as their chances increased from 65.87% to 92.43% after earning 8/12 points vs Vapor and Last Dance. SSK needs to earn 6 points in their final 4 games to clinch a spot without any outside help. They'll play against two of remaining bubble teams, Heimo and NOVA.
- vNexs had the biggest decrease in playoff odds on Wednesday, going from 59/72% to 6.92% on Wednesday. This was due to earning 0 points vs NOVA, as well as other Tohtorit and Heimo earning points in their series. They also have the toughest remaining schedule of any team in the hunt, with their final four games being against the current top two seeds, Last Dance and Myhitx.
- Polski Boys saw their playoff odds decrease significantly, dropping from 60.59% to 17.83% after Wednesday's results. This drop was due to earning just 3 points in their final four games, as well as Tohtorit and Heimo both earning points in their series. For Polski Boys to male the Top 8, only ONE of SSK ESPORTS, Heimo, vNexs or Heimo can pass them in the standings.
- Heimo's playoff odds remained unbothered despite only earning 2 points vs Tohtorit, as their chances only decreased from 72.84% to 71.56%. This was primarily due to Polski Boys and vNexs dropping points in their games on Wednesday. Prior to those two teams being swept, earning 2 points vs Tohtorit would've only given Heimo a 21.37% chance at making the Top 8. They can thank Mustaa Kultaa, ONSE Esports, and NOVA for taking away points from their fellow playoff contenders.
- NOVA managed to keep their playoff dreams alive on Wednesday and even saw their chances increase somewhat, going from 3.95% to 11.62%. Though they're still viewed as a long shot to crack the Top 8, earning 9/12 points vs EXEN and vNexs, along with Polski Boys losing their final two games, increased their chances and keeps them in the hunt.
- Three playoff seedings are officially confirmed. Last Dance is locked in as the #1 seed, EXEN is locked in as the #4 seed, and Mustaa Kultaa is locked in as the #5 seed.
- Mythix now have a 93.88% chance to clinch the #2 seed after earning 3 points in its series vs Parasite. On the opposite side of this, Parasite's chances have decreased to 5.95%.
- The Black Jacks have clinched a place in "no man's land" and will officially avoid playing in a relegation playoff series. This was due to earning 6 points in their final series vs ONSE Esports, allowing them to surpass both Blackbirds and GOONS in the standings.
- Blackbirds and ONSE Esports are both locked into playing a relegation playoff series.
- The final relegation series spot will be decided between GOONS, vNexs and NOVA. vNexs need to earn 1 point in their final 4 games to officially avoid a relegation playoff. NOVA will need to earn 6 points in their final 6 games to do so.
- Vapor are now officially locked into 16th in the standings and will be relegated from the Elite division. This was due to NOVA surpassing them in the standings on Wednesday and Vapor having no remaining games on their schedule.